AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15

S&P price on Nov 9, 2026 at 10am EST Odds · On Nov 9, 2026 at 10am EST

Kalshi Volume $822 24h $802 Ends Nov 9, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
7,200 or above
0% — —
7,205 or above
0% — —
7,210 or above
0% — —
7,215 or above
0% — —
7,220 or above
0% — —
7,225 or above
0% — —
7,230 or above
0% — —
7,235 or above
0% — —
7,240 or above
0% — —
7,245 or above
0% — —
7,250 or above
0% — —
7,255 or above
0% — —
7,260 or above
0% — —
7,265 or above
0% — —
7,270 or above
0% — —
7,275 or above
0% — —
7,280 or above
0% — —
7,285 or above
0% — —
7,290 or above
0% — —
7,295 or above
0% — —
7,300 or above
0% — —
7,305 or above
0% — —
7,310 or above
0% — —
7,315 or above
0% — —
7,320 or above
0% — —
7,325 or above
0% — —
7,330 or above
89% -809 —
7,335 or above
0% — —
7,340 or above
0% — —
7,345 or above
0% — —
7,350 or above
0% — —
7,355 or above
0% — —
7,360 or above
0% — —
7,365 or above
75% -300 ▲ 75
7,370 or above
69% -223 ▼ 10
7,375 or above
55% -122 ▲ 55
7,380 or above
66% -194 ▲ 66
7,385 or above
67% -203 ▲ 3
7,390 or above
59% -144 ▲ 59
7,395 or above
62% -163 ▲ 62

Showing the top 40 of 60 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 8 Nov 8
7,200 or above

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Nov 9, 2026 at 10am EST is above 7199.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 9, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on S&P price on Nov 9, 2026 at 10am EST?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.