AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

S&P price on Nov 6, 2026 at 12pm EST Odds · On Nov 6, 2026 at 12pm EST

This market has resolved. Final prices are below.

Kalshi Volume $88.2K Ended Nov 6, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
7,225 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,230 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,235 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,240 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,245 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,250 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,255 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,260 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,265 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,270 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,275 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,280 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,285 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,290 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,295 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,300 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,305 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,310 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,315 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,320 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,325 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,330 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,335 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,340 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,345 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,350 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,355 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,360 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,365 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,370 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,375 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,380 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,385 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,390 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,395 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,400 or above
98% -4900 ▲ 98
7,405 or above
98% -4900 ▲ 98
7,410 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,415 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,420 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99

Showing the top 40 of 120 outcomes.

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 6 Nov 6
7,225 or above

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Nov 6, 2026 at 12pm EST is above 7224.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 6, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on S&P price on Nov 6, 2026 at 12pm EST?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.