Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33

S&P price on Nov 11, 2026 at 4pm EST Odds · On Nov 11, 2026 at 4pm EST

Kalshi Volume $82.5K 24h $82.5K Ends Nov 12, 2026 Updated Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
7,375 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,380 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,385 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,390 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,395 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,400 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,405 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,410 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,415 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,420 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,425 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,430 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,435 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,440 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,445 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,450 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,455 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,460 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,465 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,470 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,475 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,480 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,485 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,490 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,495 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,500 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,505 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,510 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,515 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,520 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,525 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,530 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,535 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,540 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
7,545 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,550 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,555 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,560 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,565 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,570 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99

Showing the top 40 of 80 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 11 Nov 11
7,375 or above

Resolution rules

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on November 11, 2026 is above 7374.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 12, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on S&P price on Nov 11, 2026 at 4pm EST?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.