Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33

S&P price on Nov 11, 2026 at 12pm EST Odds · On Nov 11, 2026 at 12pm EST

Kalshi Volume $525 24h $525 Ends Nov 11, 2026 Updated Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
7,375 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,380 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,385 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,390 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,395 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,400 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,405 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,410 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,415 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,420 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,425 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,430 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,435 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,440 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,445 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,450 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,455 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,460 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,465 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,470 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,475 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,480 or above
0% — —
7,485 or above
0% — —
7,490 or above
0% — —
7,495 or above
0% — —
7,500 or above
0% — —
7,505 or above
0% — —
7,510 or above
0% — —
7,515 or above
0% — —
7,520 or above
80% -400 ▲ 80
7,525 or above
0% — —
7,530 or above
0% — —
7,535 or above
0% — —
7,540 or above
0% — —
7,545 or above
0% — —
7,550 or above
0% — —
7,555 or above
0% — —
7,560 or above
0% — —
7,565 or above
0% — —
7,570 or above
0% — —

Showing the top 40 of 60 outcomes.

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Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Nov 11, 2026 at 12pm EST is above 7374.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 11, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on S&P price on Nov 11, 2026 at 12pm EST?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.