Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026 Odds · in 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 38000 | 98% | -3900 | — |
| Above 40000 | 98% | -3900 | — |
| Above 42000 | 95% | -1900 | — |
| Above 44000 | 97% | -2757 | — |
| Above 46000 | 95% | -1900 | — |
| Above 48000 | 95% | -1900 | — |
| Above 50000 | 96% | -2122 | — |
| Above 52000 | 92% | -1150 | ▼ 5 |
| Above 54000 | 92% | -1076 | — |
| Above 56000 | 93% | -1233 | — |
| Above 58000 | 92% | -1150 | — |
| Above 60000 | 91% | -953 | — |
| Above 62000 | 90% | -852 | — |
| Above 64000 | 89% | -770 | — |
| Above 66000 | 84% | -506 | — |
| Above 68000 | 74% | -277 | — |
| Above 70000 | 50% | -100 | — |
| Above 72000 | 32% | +212 | — |
| Above 74000 | 19% | +441 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
If Rivian Automotive Inc. reports Above 38000 total vehicles delivered in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 31, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.