Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027 Odds · 1st Pick 2027
Kalshi traders give Drew Mestemaker a 41% chance (Polymarket: 41%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mestemaker | 41% | +144 | ▲ 7 | 41% |
| Jeremiah Smith | 28% | +257 | ▲ 5 | — |
| CJ Carr | 10% | +900 | ▲ 3 | 10% |
| Arch Manning | 9% | +1011 | ▲ 3 | 9% |
| Darian Mensah | 9% | +1076 | ▲ 1 | 11% |
| LaNorris Sellers | 5% | +1900 | ▲ 4 | 5% |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 2 | 9% |
| Jayden Maiava | 2% | +6567 | ▲ 1 | — |
| Julian Sayin | 1% | +9900 | — | 4% |
| Austin Simmons | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 | — |
| Dante Moore | <1% | +19900 | — | 5% |
| DJ Lagway | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Jordan Seaton | <1% | +19900 | — | 3% |
| Leonard Moore | <1% | +19900 | — | 4% |
| Cam Coleman | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Dylan Stewart | <1% | +19900 | — | 11% |
| Quincy Rhodes Jr. | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Ryan Williams | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| John Mateer | <1% | +19900 | — | 3% |
| Nico Iamaleava | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Sam Leavitt | <1% | +19900 | — | 3% |
| Lincoln Kienholz | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
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Price history
On Polymarket
The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Arch Manning is selected as the 1st overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Drew Mestemaker at 41%, about +144 in American odds. On Polymarket the same outcome trades at 41%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists May 15, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.