2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick Odds
Polymarket traders give Drew Mestemaker a 41% chance (Kalshi: 41%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mestemaker | 41% | +147 | ▲ 6 | 41% |
| Duce Robinson | 15% | +549 | — | — |
| Darian Mensah | 11% | +809 | ▼ 14 | 9% |
| Dylan Stewart | 11% | +822 | ▼ 23 | <1% |
| Ellis Robinson IV | 10% | +866 | — | — |
| CJ Carr | 10% | +900 | ▲ 2 | 10% |
| Arch Manning | 9% | +999 | ▲ 6 | 9% |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 9% | +1063 | — | 3% |
| Byrum Brown | 6% | +1539 | ▼ 1 | — |
| LaNorris Sellers | 5% | +1941 | ▼ 2 | 5% |
| David Stone | 5% | +2005 | — | — |
| Dante Moore | 5% | +2028 | ▼ 3 | <1% |
| Julian Sayin | 4% | +2147 | — | 1% |
| Brendan Sorsby | 4% | +2281 | — | — |
| Leonard Moore | 4% | +2464 | ▼ 30 | <1% |
| Jordan Seaton | 3% | +2841 | ▼ 28 | <1% |
| Sam Leavitt | 3% | +3075 | ▼ 35 | <1% |
| John Mateer | 3% | +3179 | ▼ 1 | <1% |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NFL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by May 9, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in 2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Drew Mestemaker at 41%, about +147 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at 41%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists May 10, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on 2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.