AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15

Pro Basketball MVP Winner Odds · 2026-27 season

Kalshi traders give Luka Doncic a 41% chance (Polymarket: 40%).

Kalshi Volume $483K 24h $10.6K Ends Jul 31, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h Polymarket
Luka Doncic
41% +147 ▼ 1 40%
Victor Wembanyama
30% +239 ▼ 4 30%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
11% +852 ▼ 2 11%
Jayson Tatum
6% +1718 ▲ 1 3%
Nikola Jokić
5% +2122 ▼ 1 8%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2% +6567 — 2%
Stephen Curry
2% +6567 ▲ 1 2%
Cade Cunningham
2% +6567 — 2%
Tyrese Maxey
2% +6567 ▼ 1 3%
Jaylen Brown
<1% +19900 — <1%
Anthony Davis
<1% +19900 — <1%
Anthony Edwards
<1% +19900 — <1%
Amen Thompson
<1% +19900 — —
LeBron James
<1% +19900 — <1%
Kevin Durant
<1% +19900 — <1%
Austin Reaves
<1% +19900 — <1%
Alperen Sengun
<1% +19900 — <1%
Devin Booker
<1% +19900 — <1%
James Harden
<1% +19900 — —
Donovan Mitchell
<1% +19900 — <1%
Chet Holmgren
<1% +19900 — —
Jalen Williams
<1% +19900 — —
Dylan Harper
<1% +19900 — —
Stephon Castle
<1% +19900 — —
Derrick White
<1% +19900 — —
Evan Mobley
<1% +19900 — <1%
Jarrett Allen
<1% +19900 — —
Jalen Brunson
<1% +19900 — <1%
Karl-Anthony Towns
<1% +19900 — <1%
OG Anunoby
<1% +19900 — —
Mikal Bridges
<1% +19900 — —
Jimmy Butler
<1% +19900 — —
Joel Embiid
<1% +19900 — <1%
VJ Edgecombe
<1% +19900 — —
Jalen Green
<1% +19900 — —
Ivica Zubac
<1% +19900 — —
Tyrese Haliburton
<1% +19900 — <1%
Jalen Johnson
<1% +19900 — <1%
Cooper Flagg
<1% +19900 ▼ 1 1%
LaMelo Ball
<1% +19900 — <1%

Showing the top 40 of 54 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 2 Nov 8
Luka DoncicVictor WembanyamaShai Gilgeous-AlexanderJayson Tatum

On Polymarket

The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

NBA: 2026-27 MVP
Luka Doncic40% ▲ 1
Victor Wembanyama30%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander11% ▼ 1
Nikola Jokic8%
Polymarket $9.6K 24h · $336K vol

Resolution rules

If Shai Gilgeous-Alexander wins the Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Pro Basketball MVP Winner?

As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Luka Doncic at 41%, about +147 in American odds. On Polymarket the same outcome trades at 40%. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Jul 31, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Pro Basketball MVP Winner?

This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.