NBA: 2026-27 MVP Odds
Polymarket traders give Luka Doncic a 40% chance (Kalshi: 41%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 40% | +150 | ▲ 1 | 41% |
| Victor Wembanyama | 30% | +239 | — | 30% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 11% | +852 | ▼ 1 | 11% |
| Nikola Jokic | 8% | +1233 | — | 5% |
| Jayson Tatum | 3% | +2885 | — | 6% |
| Tyrese Maxey | 3% | +3290 | — | 2% |
| Stephen Curry | 2% | +4551 | ▲ 1 | 2% |
| Cade Cunningham | 2% | +5305 | — | 2% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 2% | +5961 | — | 2% |
| Cooper Flagg | 1% | +7592 | — | <1% |
| Anthony Edwards | <1% | +16567 | — | <1% |
| Jalen Brunson | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| Jaylen Brown | <1% | +22122 | — | <1% |
| Deni Avdija | <1% | +24900 | — | <1% |
| Alperen Sengun | <1% | +28471 | — | <1% |
| Donovan Mitchell | <1% | +33233 | — | <1% |
| Jalen Johnson | <1% | +66567 | — | <1% |
| Paolo Banchero | <1% | +66567 | — | <1% |
| Scottie Barnes | <1% | +66567 | — | <1% |
| Anthony Davis | <1% | +99900 | — | <1% |
| Kawhi Leonard | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Bam Adebayo | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| Austin Reaves | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Devin Booker | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Evan Mobley | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Jamal Murray | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Joel Embiid | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Kevin Durant | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| LaMelo Ball | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| LeBron James | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Tyrese Haliburton | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Zion Williamson | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Ty Jerome | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in NBA: 2026-27 MVP?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Luka Doncic at 40%, about +150 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at 41%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jul 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on NBA: 2026-27 MVP?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.