Pro Baseball: Managers Out Odds · Before Dec 1, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Lovullo | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Mark Kotsay | 30% | +233 | — |
| Walt Weiss | 15% | +567 | — |
| Craig Albernaz | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Craig Counsell | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Will Venable | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Terry Francona | 25% | +300 | — |
| Stephen Vogt | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Warren Schaeffer | 14% | +614 | — |
| A.J. Hinch | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Joe Espada | 95% | -1900 | — |
| Matt Quatraro | 20% | +400 | — |
| Kurt Suzuki ✓ | 55% | -122 | — |
| Dave Roberts | 20% | +400 | — |
| Clayton McCullough | 7% | +1329 | — |
| Pat Murphy | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Derek Shelton | 0% | — | — |
| Aaron Boone | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Don Kelly | 0% | — | — |
| Craig Stammen | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Tony Vitello | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Dan Wilson ✓ | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Oliver Marmol | 24% | +317 | — |
| Kevin Cash | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Skip Schumaker | 0% | — | — |
| John Schneider | 7% | +1329 | — |
| Blake Butera | 1% | +9900 | — |
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Resolution rules
If the Manager of the Arizona Pro Baseball team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Pro Baseball: Managers Out?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.