PPI YoY - October 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give 6.8%+ a 34% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8%+ | 34% | +194 | ▼ 0 |
| 6.6% | 18% | +459 | ▲ 3 |
| 6.5% | 16% | +545 | — |
| 6.4% | 15% | +578 | ▼ 4 |
| 6.3% | 8% | +1207 | ▲ 1 |
| 6.7% | 7% | +1329 | ▲ 3 |
| 6.0% | 5% | +1842 | — |
| 6.1% | 4% | +2173 | — |
| 6.2% | 3% | +3233 | — |
| ≤5.9% | 3% | +3348 | — |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on November 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in PPI YoY - October 2026?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 6.8%+ at 34%, about +194 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 14, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on PPI YoY - October 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.