Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31 Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 96% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | +2310 | ▼ 6 |
| No | 96% | -2310 | ▲ 6 |
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the number of unique humans verified on World Network, found in the “n_verifications” value at https://metrics.worldcoin.org/, exceeds 30,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official World Network metrics page, available at https://metrics.worldcoin.org/, specifically the “n_verifications” value, which represents the number of unique humans verified on World Network. This market is based solely on the “n_verifications” value posted on the official World Network metrics page (https://metrics.worldcoin.org/), not on data from third-party analytics dashboards or unofficial sources. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official World Network figures.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31"?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 96%, about -2310 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.