Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Christopher Nolan a 62% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Nolan | 62% | -160 | — |
| Denis Villeneuve | 17% | +506 | — |
| Lance Oppenheim | 10% | +876 | — |
| Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi | 10% | +900 | — |
| Olivia Wilde | 3% | +3536 | — |
| Phil Lord or Christopher Miller | 2% | +4778 | — |
| Martin McDonagh | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Alejandro G. Iñárritu | 1% | +9424 | — |
| Aaron Sorkin | <1% | +18082 | — |
| Peter Farrelly | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Joel Coen | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Steven Spielberg | <1% | +24900 | — |
| Cristian Mungiu | <1% | +24900 | — |
| Ryusuke Hamaguchi | <1% | +49900 | — |
| David Fincher | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Jesse Eisenberg | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Jordan Firstman | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Andrew Haigh | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Mike Leigh | <1% | +66567 | — |
| David O. Russell | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Bassam Tariq | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Christopher Nolan at 62%, about -160 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jul 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.