Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give John Malkovich a 48% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Malkovich | 48% | +109 | ▼ 2 |
| Andrew Scott | 20% | +413 | ▲ 1 |
| Matt Damon | 17% | +488 | ▲ 2 |
| Anthony Ippolito | 8% | +1135 | ▲ 2 |
| Tom Cruise | 8% | +1150 | ▼ 0 |
| Timothée Chalamet | 3% | +3604 | — |
| Robert Pattinson | 2% | +4445 | ▼ 1 |
| John Turturro | 1% | +6797 | — |
| Ryan Gosling | 1% | +7900 | — |
| Jaafar Jackson | <1% | +15285 | — |
| Jeremy Strong | <1% | +24900 | — |
| Brad Pitt | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Pedro Pascal | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Sebastian Stan | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Adam Driver | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Javier Bardem | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Josh O'Connor | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Robert Aramayo | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Sam Rockwell | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Yura Borisov | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Mahershala Ali | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Guy Pearce | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price John Malkovich at 48%, about +109 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jul 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.