Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 97% | -3348 | — |
| Dune: Part Three | 82% | -456 | ▼ 1 |
| Digger | 24% | +317 | — |
| Fjord | 27% | +270 | ▲ 1 |
| Project Hail Mary | 75% | -292 | — |
| Wild Horse Nine | 91% | -953 | ▼ 1 |
| The Social Reckoning | 5% | +1900 | ▲ 3 |
| Disclosure Day | 6% | +1462 | ▲ 1 |
| Fatherland | 4% | +2253 | — |
| The Adventures of Cliff Booth | 19% | +426 | ▼ 0 |
| All of a Sudden | 40% | +150 | — |
| Michael | 12% | +770 | ▼ 0 |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 5% | +1880 | ▼ 1 |
| The Drama | 3% | +3471 | ▼ 1 |
| La Bola Negra | 95% | -1900 | — |
| The Invite | 75% | -292 | ▲ 3 |
| The Debut | 73% | -270 | ▼ 2 |
| You Can See Everything | 85% | -545 | ▲ 1 |
| I Play Rocky | 41% | +147 | ▼ 1 |
| Behemoth! | 18% | +456 | ▲ 3 |
| Obsession | 26% | +292 | ▼ 0 |
| Elsinore | 43% | +135 | ▲ 4 |
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Resolution rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Mar 15, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.