Oscar Winner: Best Original Screenplay Odds · In 2027
Kalshi traders give Wild Horse Nine a 61% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wild Horse Nine | 61% | -153 | ▼ 5 |
| The Debut | 17% | +488 | — |
| Obsession | 6% | +1567 | ▼ 4 |
| Club Kid | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Digger | 3% | +2757 | — |
| Fjord | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Forgotten Island | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Josephine | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Fatherland | 1% | +9900 | — |
| The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma | 1% | +9900 | — |
| A Place in Hell | 1% | +9900 | — |
| The Black Ball | 1% | +9900 | — |
| The Invite | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Elsinore | 1% | +9900 | — |
| The Drama | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Tie | 1% | +9900 | — |
| The Odyssey | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Digger has won Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Oscar Winner: Best Original Screenplay?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Wild Horse Nine at 61%, about -153 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Oscar Winner: Best Original Screenplay?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.