Oscar Winner: Best Director Odds · In 2027
Kalshi traders give Christopher Nolan a 60% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Nolan | 60% | -150 | — |
| Denis Villeneuve | 16% | +545 | ▼ 1 |
| Nathan Fielder | 13% | +700 | ▼ 2 |
| Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi | 12% | +770 | ▲ 6 |
| Martin McDonagh | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Alejandro G. Iñárritu | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Phil Lord & Christopher Miller | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Danny Boyle | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Na Hong-jin | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Andrew Haigh | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Steven Spielberg | <1% | +19900 | — |
| David Fincher | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Joel Coen | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Tie | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Janus Metz Pedersen | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Ben Affleck | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Olivia Wilde | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Mike Leigh | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Jesse Eisenberg | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Phil Lord & Christopher Miller has won Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Oscar Winner: Best Director?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Christopher Nolan at 60%, about -150 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Oscar Winner: Best Director?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.