October Inflation China - Annual Odds
Polymarket traders give 0.7% to 0.8% a 50% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7% to 0.8% | 50% | -100 | ▼ 4 |
| 0.9% to 1.0% | 31% | +223 | ▼ 4 |
| ≤0.6% | 13% | +675 | ▲ 11 |
| 1.1% to 1.2% | 2% | +4662 | ▼ 1 |
| 1.3%+ | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending October 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending October 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for October 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in November 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for October 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in October 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in October Inflation China - Annual?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 0.7% to 0.8% at 50%, about -100 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 9, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on October Inflation China - Annual?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.