October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents Odds · For Oct 2026
This market has resolved: Rate: No change, Dissents: >0. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rate: No change, Dissents: >0 ✓ | 90% | -900 | ▲ 7 |
| Rate: No change, Dissents: 0 | 10% | +900 | ▼ 4 |
| Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: >0 | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Rate: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rate: 25bp cut, Dissents: >0 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0 | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
Price history
Resolution rules
If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Oct 28, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.