Number of rate cuts in 2026 Odds · In 2026
Kalshi traders give Exactly 0 cuts a 97% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 0 cuts | 97% | -3746 | ▼ 1 |
| Exactly 1 cut | 2% | +5456 | — |
| Exactly 15 cuts | <1% | +14186 | — |
| Exactly 2 cuts | <1% | +16567 | — |
| Exactly 4 cuts | <1% | +22122 | — |
| Exactly 6 cuts | <1% | +22122 | — |
| Exactly 14 cuts | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Exactly 7 cuts | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Exactly 8 cuts | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Exactly 9 cuts | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Exactly 10 cuts | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Exactly 11 cuts | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Exactly 12 cuts | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Exactly 13 cuts | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Exactly 3 cuts | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Exactly 5 cuts | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Exactly 16 cuts | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Exactly 17 cuts | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Exactly 18 cuts | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Exactly 19 cuts | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Exactly 20 cuts | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
On Polymarket
The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Number of rate cuts in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Exactly 0 cuts at 97%, about -3746 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Number of rate cuts in 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.