AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16

NL Cy Young Winner Odds · 2026 season

Kalshi traders give Jacob Misiorowski a >99% chance.

Kalshi Volume $571K 24h $476 Ends Dec 31, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Jacob Misiorowski
>99% -19900 —
Paul Skenes
<1% +19900 —
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
<1% +19900 —
Cristopher Sanchez
<1% +19900 —
Hunter Greene
<1% +19900 —
Chris Sale
<1% +19900 —
Blake Snell
<1% +19900 —
Freddy Peralta
<1% +19900 —
Zack Wheeler
<1% +19900 —
Logan Webb
<1% +19900 —
Spencer Strider
<1% +19900 —
Brandon Woodruff
<1% +19900 —
Spencer Schwellenbach
<1% +19900 —
Tyler Glasnow
<1% +19900 —
Jesus Luzardo
<1% +19900 —
Nick Pivetta
<1% +19900 —
Nolan McLean
<1% +19900 —
Eury Perez
<1% +19900 —
Nick Lodolo
<1% +19900 —
Shohei Ohtani
<1% +19900 —
Chase Burns
<1% +19900 —
Sandy Alcantara
<1% +19900 —
Andrew Abbott
<1% +19900 —
Edward Cabrera
<1% +19900 —
Roki Sasaki
<1% +19900 —
Shota Imanaga
<1% +19900 —
Joe Musgrove
<1% +19900 —
Aaron Nola
<1% +19900 —
Bubba Chandler
<1% +19900 —
Cade Horton
<1% +19900 —
Hurston Waldrep
<1% +19900 —
Jared Jones
<1% +19900 —
Kodai Senga
<1% +19900 —
Mason Miller
<1% +19900 —
Matthew Boyd
<1% +19900 —
Mitch Keller
<1% +19900 —
Quinn Priester
<1% +19900 —
Robbie Ray
<1% +19900 —
Jhoan Duran
<1% +19900 —
Brady Singer
<1% +19900 —

Showing the top 40 of 46 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 17 Nov 5
Jacob MisiorowskiCristopher Sanchez

On Polymarket

A similar market trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner
Jacob Misiorowski>99% —
Cristopher Sanchez<1%
Chris Sale<1%
Polymarket $1.2K 24h · $1.1M vol

Resolution rules

If Paul Skenes wins the Pro Baseball National League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in NL Cy Young Winner?

As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Jacob Misiorowski at >99%, about -19900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on NL Cy Young Winner?

This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.