Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give 55,000-60,000 a 43% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55,000-60,000 | 43% | +135 | ▼ 9 |
| <55,000 | 20% | +400 | ▲ 7 |
| 65,000-70,000 | 18% | +448 | ▼ 2 |
| 60,000-65,000 | 12% | +726 | — |
| 75,000-80,000 | 7% | +1404 | — |
| 70,000-75,000 | 5% | +2122 | — |
| 85,000+ | 4% | +2432 | — |
| 80,000-85,000 | 3% | +2799 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 55,000-60,000 at 43%, about +135 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.