Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond Odds · Before 2030
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Pierre | 4% | +2757 | ▲ 2 |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 2 |
| Tom Hardy | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 1 |
| Henry Cavill | 2% | +6567 | ▲ 1 |
| James Norton | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 3 |
| Damson Idris | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Richard Madden | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Regé-Jean Page | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Theo James | 5% | +2122 | ▼ 1 |
| Cillian Murphy | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 1 |
| Harris Dickinson | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 4 |
| Jack Lowden | 24% | +317 | ▲ 5 |
| Idris Elba | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Tom Holland | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Jacob Elordi | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Charlie Hunnam | 3% | +3900 | ▲ 2 |
| Scott Rose-Marsh | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Josh O'Connor | 21% | +388 | — |
| Callum Turner | 39% | +160 | ▼ 13 |
| Nicholas Hoult | 9% | +1076 | ▼ 8 |
| Henry Ashton | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 5 |
| Tom Francis | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Tom Blyth | 2% | +6567 | — |
| George MacKay | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Robert Pattinson | 30% | +239 | ▲ 8 |
| Nicholas Galitzine | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 9 |
| Jack Barton | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Paul Mescal | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 1 |
| Jack O'Connell | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 1 |
| Luke Evans | <1% | +19900 | ▼ 1 |
| David Gyasi | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Joe Alwyn | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Harry Styles | 3% | +3233 | ▲ 6 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Aaron Pierre is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2030 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.