NBA: 2026 NBA Cup Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give San Antonio Spurs a 24% chance (Kalshi: 20%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 24% | +317 | — | 20% |
| Boston Celtics | 19% | +441 | ▲ 1 | 17% |
| Chicago Bulls | 15% | +564 | ▲ 15 | <1% |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 15% | +564 | ▲ 15 | <1% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 15% | +564 | ▲ 15 | <1% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 15% | +564 | ▲ 4 | <1% |
| Sacramento Kings | 15% | +564 | ▲ 15 | <1% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 14% | +638 | ▲ 2 | 14% |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 11% | +801 | ▲ 2 | 2% |
| Detroit Pistons | 11% | +809 | — | 8% |
| New York Knicks | 11% | +852 | ▲ 2 | 3% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 8% | +1150 | ▼ 0 | 6% |
| Miami Heat | 8% | +1233 | ▲ 1 | 3% |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 8% | +1233 | ▼ 4 | 7% |
| Houston Rockets | 6% | +1539 | ▼ 1 | 4% |
| Orlando Magic | 6% | +1670 | ▲ 1 | 3% |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 6% | +1718 | ▲ 1 | 2% |
| Denver Nuggets | 5% | +1735 | — | 6% |
| Golden State Warriors | 5% | +1861 | ▼ 1 | 7% |
| Atlanta Hawks | 5% | +1880 | — | 2% |
| Phoenix Suns | 5% | +1880 | ▲ 1 | <1% |
| Toronto Raptors | 5% | +1880 | ▲ 1 | 2% |
| Washington Wizards | 5% | +1880 | ▲ 1 | <1% |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 4% | +2678 | — | 2% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 4% | +2678 | ▲ 1 | <1% |
| Charlotte Hornets | 4% | +2717 | ▲ 1 | <1% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 4% | +2717 | — | 3% |
| Indiana Pacers | 4% | +2717 | ▲ 1 | <1% |
| Brooklyn Nets | <1% | +18082 | — | <1% |
| Utah Jazz | <1% | +18082 | — | <1% |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NBA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 NBA Cup per the rules of the NBA (e.g., elimination), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, or a champion has not been declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve according to official NBA declarations.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in NBA: 2026 NBA Cup Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price San Antonio Spurs at 24%, about +317 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at 20%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on NBA: 2026 NBA Cup Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.