AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16

NBA: 2026-27 Points Per Game Leader Odds

Polymarket traders give Luka Doncic a 74% chance.

Polymarket Volume $19.2K 24h $0 Liquidity $40.3K Ends Apr 26, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h Kalshi
Luka Doncic
74% -289 — —
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
13% +649 ▲ 1 24%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
4% +2253 — 4%
Donovan Mitchell
3% +3822 — 1%
Jalen Johnson
3% +3900 — 1%
Deni Avdija
2% +3982 — 1%
Stephen Curry
2% +3982 — 1%
Alperen Sengun
2% +3982 — 1%
Keyonte George
2% +4067 — 1%
Desmond Bane
2% +4155 — 1%
Jaylen Brown
2% +4155 — 1%
Kevin Durant
2% +4155 — 1%
Julius Randle
2% +4155 — 1%
Pascal Siakam
2% +4155 — 1%
Jayson Tatum
2% +4155 — 3%
Franz Wagner
2% +4155 — 1%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
2% +4248 — 1%
Jalen Brunson
2% +4248 — 1%
Damian Lillard
2% +4248 ▲ 2 1%
Darryn Peterson
2% +4248 — 1%
Brandon Ingram
2% +4344 — 1%
LeBron James
2% +4344 — 1%
Brandon Miller
2% +4344 — 1%
Norman Powell
2% +4344 — 1%
Dillon Brooks
2% +4445 — 1%
James Harden
2% +4445 — 1%
Paolo Banchero
2% +4551 — 1%
Cade Cunningham
2% +4551 — 1%
Nikola Jokic
2% +4551 — 1%
Shaedon Sharpe
2% +4551 — 1%
Kyrie Irving
2% +4662 — 1%
Jamal Murray
2% +4662 — 1%
Austin Reaves
2% +4662 — 1%
Victor Wembanyama
2% +4778 — 3%
Anthony Edwards
2% +5028 — 6%
Lauri Markkanen
2% +5028 — <1%
Tyler Herro
2% +5163 — 1%
Michael Porter Jr.
2% +5305 — 1%
Devin Booker
2% +6352 — 2%
Tyrese Maxey
2% +6352 — 1%

Showing the top 40 of 50 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 21 Nov 8
Luka DoncicShai Gilgeous-AlexanderGiannis AntetokounmpoDonovan Mitchell

On Kalshi

The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

Pro Basketball Points Per Game (PPG) Leader · Points Per Game (2026-27)
Luka Dončić92% ▲ 12
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander24% ▲ 2
Anthony Edwards6% —
Giannis Antetokounmpo4% —
Kalshi $244 24h · $11.7K vol

Resolution rules

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NBA regular season with the highest points per game average among qualified players. If the leader is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". To qualify, a player must meet the NBA's minimum requirements for its official 2026-27 regular-season per-game leaderboard (a player who appears in at least 58 regular-season games qualifies), applied exactly as reflected on NBA.com/stats. Only 2026-27 NBA regular-season games count. NBA Cup group-play and knockout games other than the NBA Cup Championship game are regular-season games and count. Statistics from the preseason, the NBA Cup Championship game, the Play-In Tournament, the playoffs and the All-Star Game are excluded. If a player plays for more than one team during the season, his statistics from all teams are combined. In the event of a tie for the highest points per game average, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more total points during the 2026-27 NBA regular season. If a tie still persists, each tied player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the 2026-27 NBA regular season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NBA statistics for completed games, with leaderboard qualification applied as the NBA applies it to the shortened season. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NBA in points per game within that timeframe, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including NBA.com/stats; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in NBA: 2026-27 Points Per Game Leader?

As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Luka Doncic at 74%, about -289 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Apr 26, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on NBA: 2026-27 Points Per Game Leader?

This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.