NBA: 2026-27 Efficiency (EFF) Leader Odds
Polymarket traders give Luka Doncic a 38% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 38% | +162 | — |
| Victor Wembanyama | 37% | +168 | ▲ 29 |
| Nikola Jokic | 32% | +209 | ▼ 3 |
| Dyson Daniels | 3% | +3126 | ▼ 1 |
| Deni Avdija | 3% | +3179 | ▼ 1 |
| RJ Barrett | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Paolo Banchero | 3% | +3348 | ▼ 1 |
| Desmond Bane | 3% | +3348 | ▼ 1 |
| Stephen Curry | 3% | +3348 | ▼ 1 |
| Anthony Edwards | 3% | +3348 | ▼ 1 |
| Jimmy Butler III | 3% | +3348 | ▼ 1 |
| Walker Kessler | 3% | +3348 | ▼ 1 |
| Jamal Murray | 3% | +3348 | ▼ 1 |
| Neemias Queta | 3% | +3348 | ▼ 1 |
| Jalen Brunson | 3% | +3409 | ▼ 1 |
| Jalen Johnson | 3% | +3409 | ▼ 1 |
| Zion Williamson | 3% | +3409 | ▼ 1 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 3% | +3471 | ▼ 1 |
| Deandre Ayton | 3% | +3536 | ▼ 1 |
| Josh Hart | 3% | +3536 | ▼ 1 |
| Ivica Zubac | 3% | +3536 | ▼ 1 |
| Rudy Gobert | 3% | +3604 | ▼ 1 |
| Trey Murphy III | 3% | +3604 | ▼ 1 |
| LaMelo Ball | 3% | +3674 | ▼ 1 |
| Jaylen Brown | 3% | +3674 | — |
| Nic Claxton | 3% | +3674 | ▼ 1 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 3% | +3674 | ▼ 1 |
| Kevin Durant | 3% | +3674 | ▼ 1 |
| VJ Edgecombe | 3% | +3674 | ▼ 1 |
| Joel Embiid | 3% | +3674 | ▼ 1 |
| Cooper Flagg | 3% | +3674 | ▼ 1 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 3% | +3674 | ▼ 1 |
| Donovan Mitchell | 3% | +3674 | ▼ 1 |
| Evan Mobley | 3% | +3674 | ▼ 1 |
| Dejounte Murray | 3% | +3674 | ▼ 1 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 3% | +3674 | ▼ 1 |
| Jusuf Nurkic | 3% | +3674 | ▼ 1 |
| Darryn Peterson | 3% | +3674 | ▼ 1 |
| Julius Randle | 3% | +3674 | ▼ 1 |
| Austin Reaves | 3% | +3674 | ▼ 1 |
Showing the top 40 of 100 outcomes.
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NBA regular season with the highest efficiency (EFF) per game average among qualified players. If the leader is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". Efficiency (EFF) is the NBA's box-score efficiency statistic: (points + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks) minus (missed field goals + missed free throws + turnovers), averaged per game as published on NBA.com/stats. To qualify, a player must meet the NBA's minimum requirements for its official 2026-27 regular-season per-game leaderboard (a player who appears in at least 58 regular-season games qualifies), applied exactly as reflected on NBA.com/stats. Only 2026-27 NBA regular-season games count. NBA Cup group-play and knockout games other than the NBA Cup Championship game are regular-season games and count. Statistics from the preseason, the NBA Cup Championship game, the Play-In Tournament, the playoffs and the All-Star Game are excluded. If a player plays for more than one team during the season, his statistics from all teams are combined. In the event of a tie for the highest efficiency (EFF) per game average, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with a higher total efficiency (EFF) across all games played during the 2026-27 NBA regular season. If a tie still persists, each tied player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the 2026-27 NBA regular season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NBA statistics for completed games, with leaderboard qualification applied as the NBA applies it to the shortened season. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game within that timeframe, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including NBA.com/stats; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in NBA: 2026-27 Efficiency (EFF) Leader?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Luka Doncic at 38%, about +162 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Apr 26, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on NBA: 2026-27 Efficiency (EFF) Leader?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.