AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 4, 2026 at 4pm EST Odds · On Nov 4, 2026 at 4pm EST

This market has resolved. Final prices are below.

Kalshi Volume $143K Ended Nov 5, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
25,900 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
25,910 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
25,920 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
25,930 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
25,940 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
25,950 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
25,960 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
25,970 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
25,980 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
25,990 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,000 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,010 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,020 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,030 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,040 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,050 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,060 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,070 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,080 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,090 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,100 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,110 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,120 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,130 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,140 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,150 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,160 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,170 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,180 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,190 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,200 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,210 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,220 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,230 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,240 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,250 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,260 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,270 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,280 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
26,290 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99

Showing the top 40 of 400 outcomes.

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 3 Nov 4
25,900 or above

Resolution rules

If the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on November 04, 2026 is above 25899.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 5, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 4, 2026 at 4pm EST?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.