NASCAR Cup Series Champion Odds · NASCAR Cup Series
Kalshi traders give Kyle Larson a 96% chance (Polymarket: 95%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 96% | -2122 | — | 95% |
| Denny Hamlin | 5% | +2122 | ▲ 2 | 4% |
| Christopher Bell | 2% | +6567 | — | 2% |
| William Byron | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Joey Logano | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Connor Zilisch | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Josh Berry | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Carson Hocevar | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Erik Jones | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Zane Smith | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Cole Custer | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Cody Ware | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| AJ Allmendinger | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Riley Herbst | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Shane Van Gisbergen | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
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Price history
On Polymarket
The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Kyle Larson wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in NASCAR Cup Series Champion?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Kyle Larson at 96%, about -2122 in American odds. On Polymarket the same outcome trades at 95%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on NASCAR Cup Series Champion?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.