NASCAR Cup Series: 2026 Champion Odds
Polymarket traders give Kyle Larson a 95% chance (Kalshi: 96%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 95% | -1983 | — | 96% |
| Denny Hamlin | 4% | +2173 | ▲ 1 | 5% |
| Christopher Bell | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 1 | 2% |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by NASCAR to determine the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Championship based on the rules of NASCAR (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NASCAR.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in NASCAR Cup Series: 2026 Champion?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Kyle Larson at 95%, about -1983 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at 96%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 23, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on NASCAR Cup Series: 2026 Champion?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.