AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16

MVP Winner Odds · 2026-27 season

Kalshi traders give Josh Allen a 31% chance.

Kalshi Volume $1.9M 24h $13.1K Ends Mar 14, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Josh Allen
31% +228 ▲ 2
Joe Burrow
18% +471 —
Brock Purdy
16% +545 —
Caleb Williams
11% +852 ▲ 1
Trevor Lawrence
11% +852 ▼ 1
Drake Maye
6% +1718 ▼ 1
Jordan Love
4% +2757 —
Jared Goff
3% +3900 —
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
3% +3900 —
Patrick Mahomes
2% +6567 ▼ 1
Jahmyr Gibbs
2% +6567 —
Ashton Jeanty
<1% +19900 —
Lamar Jackson
<1% +19900 —
Jayden Daniels
<1% +19900 —
Justin Herbert
<1% +19900 —
Jalen Hurts
<1% +19900 —
CJ Stroud
<1% +19900 —
Baker Mayfield
<1% +19900 —
Dak Prescott
<1% +19900 —
Matthew Stafford
<1% +19900 —
Bijan Robinson
<1% +19900 —
Kyler Murray
<1% +19900 —
Tua Tagovailoa
<1% +19900 —
Sam Darnold
<1% +19900 —
Bryce Young
<1% +19900 —
Jonathan Taylor
<1% +19900 —
Bo Nix
<1% +19900 —
Michael Penix Jr
<1% +19900 —
Aaron Rodgers
<1% +19900 —
JJ McCarthy
<1% +19900 —
Justin Jefferson
<1% +19900 —
Ja'Marr Chase
<1% +19900 —
Saquon Barkley
<1% +19900 —
Cam Ward
<1% +19900 —
Puka Nacua
<1% +19900 —
Christian McCaffrey
<1% +19900 —
Myles Garrett
<1% +19900 —
Micah Parsons
<1% +19900 —
Jaxson Dart
<1% +19900 —
Tyler Shough
<1% +19900 —

Showing the top 40 of 49 outcomes.

We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 3 Nov 8
Josh AllenJoe BurrowBrock PurdyCaleb Williams

Resolution rules

If Ashton Jeanty wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in MVP Winner?

As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Josh Allen at 31%, about +228 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Mar 14, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on MVP Winner?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.