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Muse on Meta glasses by... Odds

Polymarket traders give “Yes” a 64% chance.

Polymarket Volume $8.5K 24h $0 Liquidity $1.8K Ends Jan 1, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Yes
64% -174 ▲ 1
No
37% +174 ▼ 1

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 22 Nov 8
December 31

Resolution rules

At Meta Connect on September 23, 2026, Meta announced that Muse, its personal AI agent, would come to its AI glasses in the coming months (see: https://about.fb.com/news/2026/09/the-biggest-news-from-connect-2026/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes Muse available on any of its AI glasses by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Muse will be considered available on Meta's AI glasses if Meta releases a feature allowing users to give instructions to their Muse personal AI agent through the glasses. A qualifying release must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or a gradual rollout. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to paid subscription plans or to certain countries will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

What are the odds of "Muse on Meta glasses by..."?

As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Yes at 64%, about -174 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Muse on Meta glasses by...?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.