MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform Odds · In 2026
This market has resolved: Madonna. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Madonna ✓ | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Taylor Swift | 14% | +614 | — |
| Ariana Grande | 39% | +156 | — |
| Sabrina Carpenter ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Bruno Mars ✓ | 97% | -3233 | — |
| PinkPantheress | 26% | +285 | — |
| Zara Larsson | 1% | +9900 | — |
| LISA ✓ | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Tate McRae | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Shakira | 9% | +1011 | — |
| Stella Lefty | 9% | +1011 | — |
| Olivia Dean | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Any member of GENER8ION ✓ | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Yung Lean ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Any member of CORTIS | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Bad Bunny | 30% | +233 | — |
| Doja Cat | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Lady Gaga | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Billie Eilish | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Any member of KATSEYE | 2% | +4900 | — |
| DEACTIVATED | 0% | — | — |
| Ella Langley | 20% | +400 | — |
| Raye ✓ | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Miley Cyrus | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Dua Lipa | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Beyonce | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Sienna Spiro ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Charli xcx ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Troye Sivan | 2% | +4900 | — |
Resolution rules
If Madonna performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) the MTV Video Music Awards 2026 during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.