Miss Universe 2026: Third Place Odds
Polymarket traders give Aruba a 11% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aruba | 11% | +830 | ▲ 3 |
| Cameroon | 8% | +1120 | ▼ 2 |
| Colombia | 7% | +1438 | ▼ 6 |
| Philippines | 7% | +1438 | ▼ 4 |
| Cuba | 6% | +1581 | ▲ 1 |
| Pakistan | 6% | +1718 | — |
| Venezuela | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 3 |
| Peru | 5% | +1823 | ▲ 3 |
| Puerto Rico | 5% | +1900 | ▲ 1 |
| Cambodia | 5% | +2122 | ▼ 1 |
| Curaçao | 4% | +2147 | ▼ 1 |
| Spain | 4% | +2147 | ▼ 2 |
| Ecuador | 4% | +2173 | ▼ 1 |
| USA | 4% | +2173 | ▼ 2 |
| Bolivia | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 2 |
| Guadeloupe | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Russia | 4% | +2432 | ▼ 1 |
| Nicaragua | 4% | +2567 | ▲ 1 |
| Namibia | 4% | +2603 | — |
| Nigeria | 4% | +2603 | ▼ 1 |
| Dominican Republic | 4% | +2678 | ▼ 1 |
| Egypt | 4% | +2678 | ▼ 4 |
| El Salvador | 3% | +2930 | ▼ 4 |
| Finland | 3% | +2930 | — |
| France | 3% | +2930 | ▼ 1 |
| Trinidad and Tobago | 3% | +2930 | — |
| Portugal | 3% | +2977 | ▼ 1 |
| Chile | 3% | +3471 | ▼ 1 |
| Australia | 3% | +3536 | ▼ 0 |
| Brazil | 3% | +3536 | ▼ 1 |
| Canada | 3% | +3536 | ▼ 3 |
| Haiti | 3% | +3536 | ▼ 1 |
| Nepal | 3% | +3536 | ▼ 1 |
| Mexico | 3% | +3604 | ▼ 4 |
| Malta | 3% | +3674 | — |
| Japan | 3% | +3822 | ▼ 1 |
| Guatemala | 2% | +4778 | ▼ 4 |
| Netherlands | 2% | +4778 | ▼ 5 |
| South Africa | 2% | +5456 | ▼ 5 |
| Costa Rica | 2% | +5782 | — |
Showing the top 40 of 47 outcomes.
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Price history
Resolution rules
The Miss Universe 2026 competition is scheduled to be held in Puerto Rico on November 24, 2026. You can find more information about that here: https://www.missuniverse.com/ This market will resolve to the country represented by the contestant ranked third in the Miss Universe 2026 competition, according to the ranking below. Contestants will be ranked according to their official competition ranking. If two or more contestants share the same ranking, ties will be broken alphabetically by the English name of the country they represent. This market will resolve according to the country ranked third under this ranking. If the result of this competition isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on official results as reported by the Miss Universe Organization.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Miss Universe 2026: Third Place?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Aruba at 11%, about +830 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 25, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Miss Universe 2026: Third Place?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.