Khamenei # posts November 13 - November 20, 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give <5 a 82% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| <5 | 82% | -441 | — |
| 5-9 | 15% | +571 | ▲ 1 |
| 10-14 | 5% | +1842 | ▼ 9 |
| 35-39 | 5% | +2005 | ▲ 1 |
| 15-19 | 5% | +2051 | ▼ 9 |
| 25-29 | 5% | +2051 | ▲ 1 |
| 30-34 | 5% | +2051 | ▲ 1 |
| 40-44 | 3% | +2977 | — |
| 55-59 | 3% | +3025 | — |
| 50-54 | 3% | +3126 | — |
| 45-49 | 3% | +3179 | — |
| 60+ | 1% | +8596 | ▼ 2 |
| 20-24 | <1% | +18082 | ▼ 3 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between November 13, 12:00 PM ET and November 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Khamenei # posts November 13 - November 20, 2026?
As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price <5 at 82%, about -441 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 20, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Khamenei # posts November 13 - November 20, 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.