JOLTS Job Openings: October 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give 7.6M to 7.7M a 20% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.6M to 7.7M | 20% | +413 | ▲ 7 |
| 7.8M+ | 15% | +549 | ▼ 5 |
| 7.5M to 7.6M | 15% | +567 | ▼ 0 |
| 7.3M to 7.4M | 14% | +641 | ▼ 1 |
| <7.2M | 13% | +669 | ▼ 4 |
| 7.2M to 7.3M | 12% | +770 | ▲ 1 |
| 7.4M to 7.5M | 5% | +1769 | ▼ 3 |
| 7.7M to 7.8M | 5% | +2098 | ▼ 3 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in October 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in October 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on December 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in JOLTS Job Openings: October 2026?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 7.6M to 7.7M at 20%, about +413 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on JOLTS Job Openings: October 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.