AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15

Jimmy Fallon: Guests in 2026 Odds · Before 2027

Kalshi Volume $11.0K 24h $9 Ends Jan 2, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Taylor Swift
20% +400 —
Leonardo DiCaprio
8% +1150 —
Timothée Chalamet
77% -335 —
Margot Robbie
20% +413 —
Jennifer Lawrence
21% +388 —
Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson
31% +223 ▲ 7
Scarlett Johansson
18% +456 —
Drake
5% +1900 —
Beyoncé
13% +700 —
Rihanna
5% +2122 —
Billie Eilish
18% +471 —
Bad Bunny
29% +245 —
Ariana Grande
90% -900 ▲ 57
Post Malone
17% +506 —
Harry Styles
18% +471 —
Kendrick Lamar
5% +1900 —
Kim Kardashian
16% +525 —
Kylie Jenner
7% +1329 —
Logan Paul
5% +2122 —
Charli D’Amelio
12% +770 —
LeBron James
7% +1438 —
Stephen Curry
9% +1076 —
Lionel Messi
7% +1329 —
Travis Kelce
11% +852 —
Simone Biles
7% +1438 —
Martin Scorsese
5% +1900 —
Quentin Tarantino
5% +1900 —
Pete Buttigieg
0% — —
Kamala Harris
0% — —
Barack Obama
0% — —
Bernie Sanders
0% — —
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
0% — —
Gavin Newsom
0% — —
Josh Shapiro
0% — —
Abdul El-Sayed
0% — —
Khloé Kardashian
0% — —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 17 Nov 8
Taylor Swift

Resolution rules

If Taylor Swift is on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Jan 2, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Jimmy Fallon: Guests in 2026?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.