M25 Heraklion: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Cezar Cretu Odds
Polymarket traders give Gilles Arnaud Bailly a >99% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | >99% | -199900 | — |
| Cezar Cretu | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Cezar Cretu in the M25 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gilles Arnaud Bailly' if Gilles Arnaud Bailly advances against Cezar Cretu. This market will resolve to 'Cezar Cretu' if Cezar Cretu advances against Gilles Arnaud Bailly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in M25 Heraklion: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Cezar Cretu?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Gilles Arnaud Bailly at >99%, about -199900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on M25 Heraklion: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Cezar Cretu?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.