How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027 Odds · Before 2027
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter | 59% | -144 | — |
| Above 20 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter | 10% | +953 | ▲ 1 |
| Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter | 8% | +1233 | — |
| Above 50 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter | 3% | +3900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Tesla deploys more than 15 GWh of energy products in a single quarter starting with Q1 2025 and before Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
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