How many wide film releases in Q4 2026 Odds · Q4 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 45 | 96% | -2122 | — |
| At least 50 | 96% | -2122 | — |
| At least 55 | 94% | -1438 | — |
| At least 60 | 89% | -809 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the number of wide film releases on the Domestic Release Schedule by Box Office Mojo in Q4 2026 is at least 45, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 21, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
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