How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026 Odds · Before Jan 2027
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0 | 86% | -590 | — |
| Above 1000 | 18% | +471 | — |
| Above 5000 | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Above 10000 | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Above 15000 | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Above 20000 | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Above 25000 | 4% | +2757 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Tesla Inc reports above 0 Semi Trucks Produced in Any Quarter before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.