How long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands Odds
Polymarket traders give 2–6s a 42% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2–6s | 42% | +141 | ▼ 2 |
| 6–10s | 21% | +376 | ▲ 1 |
| Photographed only | 14% | +597 | ▲ 9 |
| No Handshake | 12% | +770 | ▼ 4 |
| <2s | 7% | +1438 | ▲ 1 |
| 10–15s | 4% | +2173 | ▼ 5 |
| 15s+ | <1% | +12400 | ▼ 4 |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
Sanae Takaichi is scheduled to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen, China, on November 18–19, 2026, which will be hosted by Xi Jinping. This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Xi Jinping and Sanae Takaichi during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify. For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Sanae Takaichi enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China and ends once Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory. If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (Shenzhen time) of the summit to qualify. This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (Shenzhen time) that Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. The resolution source will be video footage.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in How long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands?
As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 2–6s at 42%, about +141 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on How long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.