How high will the S&P get this year Odds · In 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8,000 or above | 20% | +409 | ▼ 2 |
| 8,200 or above | 8% | +1150 | — |
| 8,400 or above | 3% | +2930 | — |
| 8,600 or above | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 4 |
| 8,800 or above | 1% | +8991 | — |
| 9,000 or above | 1% | +7900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on How high will the S&P get this year?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.