How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026 Odds · 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 91,500 MW | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Above 92,000 MW | 4% | +2757 | ▼ 1 |
| Above 92,500 MW | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Above 93,000 MW | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Above 94,000 MW | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Above 96,000 MW | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Above 98,000 MW | 2% | +6567 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 91,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 8, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.