How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026 Odds · In 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| $115.01 or above | 30% | +239 | ▼ 2 |
| $120.01 or above | 21% | +381 | ▼ 4 |
| $125.01 or above | 15% | +580 | ▼ 11 |
| $130.01 or above | 11% | +817 | ▼ 2 |
| $135.01 or above | 9% | +1017 | ▼ 1 |
| $140.01 or above | 9% | +1056 | ▲ 1 |
| $150.01 or above | 6% | +1487 | ▼ 2 |
| $160.01 or above | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 3 |
| $180.01 or above | 3% | +3536 | ▼ 1 |
| $200.01 or above | 2% | +4248 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $115 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.