AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 26% ▼ 24How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 16% ▼ 23Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 81% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 84% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 73% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16

Heisman Trophy Finalists Odds · 2026

Kalshi Volume $20.1K 24h $1.8K Ends Dec 31, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Jeremiah Smith
73% -264 ▼ 7
Julian Sayin
<1% +19900 ▼ 1
Gunner Stockton
48% +108 ▲ 18
Malachi Toney
4% +2400 ▼ 11
Arch Manning
15% +567 ▲ 11
Trinidad Chambliss
12% +733 ▼ 56
Ahmad Hardy
1% +9900 —
Marcel Reed
1% +9900 —
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
13% +669 —
Kewan Lacy
1% +9900 —
Jayden Maiava
5% +1900 —
Bo Jackson
5% +1900 —
Drew Mestemaker
30% +233 ▼ 15
CJ Carr
80% -400 ▲ 17
LaNorris Sellers
16% +525 ▲ 10
Dante Moore
1% +9900 —
Jadan Baugh
1% +9900 —
John Mateer
2% +6567 —
Demond Williams Jr.
5% +1900 —
Sam Leavitt
2% +4900 ▼ 34
Kevin Jennings
3% +3233 —
Rocco Becht
<1% +19900 —
Byrum Brown
2% +6567 —
Josh Hoover
1% +9900 —
Will Hammond
0% — —
Austin Mack
6% +1567 —
DJ Lagway
5% +2122 —
Keelon Russell
47% +113 ▲ 38
Bryce Underwood
1% +9900 —
Aaron Philo
49% +104 —
Devon Dampier
49% +104 ▲ 23
Jesse Legree
28% +257 ▼ 7
Darian Mensah
25% +300 —
Gio Lopez
0% — —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 17 Nov 8
Jeremiah Smith

Resolution rules

If Jeremiah Smith is selected as a finalist for the Heisman Trophy in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Heisman Trophy Finalists?

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