Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026 Odds · 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 9.4 million | 98% | -3900 | — |
| Above 9.6 million | 76% | -308 | — |
| Above 9.8 million | 23% | +344 | — |
| Above 10.0 million | 7% | +1438 | — |
| Above 10.2 million | 4% | +2757 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Resolution rules
If Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for calendar year 2026 are above 9.4 million, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Feb 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.