AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15

GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price Odds

Polymarket Volume $94.3K 24h $316 Liquidity $11.7K Ends Jul 1, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
$60+
>99% -16567 —
$70+
>99% -16567 —
$80+
2% +6150 ▼ 1
$75+
99% -9424 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 16 Nov 4
$60+

Resolution rules

Grand Theft Auto VI is currently scheduled to be released for the PlayStation 5 console on November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US launch price of the base version of Grand Theft Auto VI for the PlayStation 5 is greater than or equal to the specified price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the advertised price. Any additional sales or consumption tax, if not included in the advertised price, will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve based on the base version of the game, excluding any optional add-ons. This market will resolve solely based on the price for the PlayStation 5 console. The price available on any other console will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the first price available to consumers upon general launch of the game. The game will be considered launched when it is publicly available for download or retail purchase. Any preorder, invite-only, couponed, or closed offering price will not be considered. Any later revisions to the launch price will not be considered. If the GTA VI launch price differs based on region of the US, this market will consider the lowest advertised price at launch. If GTA VI is not launched for the PlayStation 5, or is not available as a standalone purchase (e.g. exclusively accessed as part of a subscription), by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/). If no price is available on the PlayStation US online store, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Jul 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.