Grok App Downloads in October 2026 Odds · October 2026
This market has resolved. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 25 | 98% | -4900 | ▼ 1 |
| Above 55 | 94% | -1567 | ▼ 4 |
| Above 60 | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 65 | 7% | +1329 | ▲ 6 |
| Above 70 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 90 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 125 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 160 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 225 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 550 | 1% | +9900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If the Carbon Arc Grok App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 25 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 15, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Grok App Downloads in October 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.