Golden Globe Winner: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy Odds · Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy | 2027
Kalshi traders give John Malkovich a 77% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Malkovich | 77% | -344 | ▲ 9 |
| Tom Cruise | 20% | +400 | — |
| Seth Rogen | 6% | +1567 | — |
| Anthony Ippolito | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Tie | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Ryan Gosling | 5% | +2122 | — |
| Jordan Firstman | 5% | +2122 | — |
| Brad Pitt | 5% | +2122 | — |
| Robert Pattinson | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Harry Melling | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Pedro Pascal | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Jaafar Jackson | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Dominic Sessa | 1% | +9900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If John Malkovich wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Golden Globe Winner: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price John Malkovich at 77%, about -344 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 11, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Golden Globe Winner: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.