Golden Globe Nominations: Best Director Odds · 84th Golden Globe Nominations: Best Director
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Nolan | 95% | -1900 | — |
| Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo | 0% | — | — |
| Martin McDonagh | 0% | — | — |
| Cristian Mungiu | 40% | +150 | ▲ 6 |
| Ryusuke Hamaguchi | 50% | -100 | — |
| Olivia Wilde | 79% | -365 | — |
| Denis Villeneuve | 79% | -376 | — |
| Paweł Pawlikowski | 10% | +900 | — |
| Alejandro G. Iñárritu | 45% | +122 | — |
| Tony Gilroy | 0% | — | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Christopher Nolan is on the list of nominees for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 9, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
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